Derivatives and Risk Management

Derivatives and Risk Management

ASSESSMENT CRITERIA AND ISSUES

• The submission date and time for this coursework assignment is 11:55 PM on 08 May

2017. Failure to submit by this date is likely to result in severe penalties unless you

submit a relevant form. Submission of coursework must be electronically via Moodle.

• I expect your coursework assignment to be between 1500 and 2,500 words with quality

being more important than quantity.

• As should be obvious from the above, there is a requirement for you to research, collect,

present and analyse actual data. Sources of information must be included and

referenced in your discussion as well as the date the data was obtained.

• Points and/or arguments presented and made should be substantiated with data/evidence. I

am interested in your own views but it should be clear through the referencing system

whether they are personal or evidenced by the views/data of others

• A bibliography should be included using the Harvard system. This at least entails that

every reference included in the bibliography is referenced in the main body of the text

and that there are no references included in the bibliography that are not mentioned in

the main body.

• Clarity of expression – please pass through MS Word ’Spelling & Grammar’ or equivalent.

• Plagiarism means presenting another person’s work as your own. Some examples of it

are:

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– The inclusion in a student’s assignment of more than a single phrase from another

person’s work without the use of quotation marks and due acknowledgement of

the source.

– The summarising of another’s work by simply changing a few words or altering the

order of presentation, without proper acknowledgement.

– The use of the ideas or intellectual data of another person without acknowledgement

of the source or the submission or presentation of work as if it were the student

’s, when in fact they are substantially the ideas or intellectual data of another

person.

– Copying the work of another person (be it a co-student or any other source), including

figures, text, etc.

Students are rightly expected to draw upon other people’s ideas but in an appropriate

manner. Students will certainly use books and journals to assist with their

studies and in students may have access to other people’s work on computer disk

or over a computer network. When undertaking coursework assignments they may

legitimately make reference to publication made by others.

However, other people’s work must be used in a principled way, with due acknowledgement

of authorship. Students, in acknowledgement of the work of others must

use a recognised standard and for business students this is the Harvard sys-tem

of referencing.

For guidance on plagiarism refer to: https://my.lsbu.ac.uk/assets/documents/

library/h2g-library-4.pdf

For guidance on the Harvard system of referencing: https://my.lsbu.ac.uk/

assets/documents/library/h2g-library-30.pdf

The consequences of plagiarism are extremely serious. This should be borne in

mind at all times and especially when students are completing their assignments.

In cases of plagiarism and other forms of cheating, University regulations will be

strictly applied. Penalties may include failure in the module, without the right to be

re-assessed or even termination of studies.

QUESTION 1: HEDGING STRATEGY 50%

A wealthy UK investor has a well-diversified portfolio of UK equities (60%), international equities

(20%), UK government bonds (10%) and cash deposit (10%) and the portfolio is currently

worth £5 million. He has been tracking the level of the FTSE100 index for some time

and believes that the FTSE100 index is unlikely to be above 7800 or below 6800 by the end

of April 2017.

Assume this investor has asked for your advice with regard to the use of FTSE100 futures

and/or options strategies that will make a profit should his view of the market be correct. You

should be aware, however, that although your client is a high net worth individual, he

absolutely hates losing money. Any strategies you suggest, therefore, must not lose more

than £200,000 under any circumstances.

1. Collect relevant end of day FTSE 100 index prices before mid August 2016 (and ongoing as

relevant), stating the date obtained. Research and report the performance of the UK stock

market, with extra marks awarded for good quantitative analysis provided. —10%

2. Collect the relevant futures and/or option prices, using these prices obtained to construct

THREE different trading strategies that would be expected to yield a profit should

the investor’s view of the future performance of the FTSE100 be correct within this end

of April 2017 time span.

You should provide a detailed justification of each strategy, and this is expected to include

a theoretical pricing analysis of the futures/options chosen, as well as a scenario

analysis to confirm that the strategy cannot lose more than £200,000.

(In this exercise you are creating a new investment strategy, so you should ignore the

risk on the existing £5 million portfolio.) —40%

3. As a separate exercise, devise a separate strategy that would protect the investor’s equity

component of her current £5 million portfolio should the FTSE 100 fall below 6800

before the end of April 2016.

As before, you should provide a detailed justification of the strategy. —15%

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QUESTION 2: TRADING 50%

Commencing Monday 20th of April (week 8)1

, you will have two weeks to trade and hedge an

option/stock portfolio. Trading activity will end on Friday March 31st (week 10). In this activity,

you should devise trading strategies, actively manage these strategies and finally you should

analyse the performance of your strategy. The objective of your strategies is to make money

but the grade awarded will be based on

• A logical, coherent strategy designed to make money

• A demonstration of lecture theory in a practical setting showing your understanding.

• An analysis of the strategy performance apropos of the original intention

You will be assigned a particular stock as per the list at the end of this document, and you

must only trade in this stock and its derivatives.

Although this is an individual assignment, you are allowed to meet with your fellow classmates

to discuss your ideas. These meetings should commence ASAP and should discuss

trading strategies and should analyse the current portfolio performance.

A report of between 800 and 1200 words must be submitted by the assignment deadline.

Trading activities must be included in the report’s Appendix. e.g., after each trade, you should

have a paragraph contains the following,

• The date of the trading

• All of that days’ activities.

– E.g. Bought 2000 shares of YHOO at $34.10

– Sold 200 YHOO Dec Call Options, Strike = $35 at $4.50 each

You should have between two and three trading strategies. These should differ from each

other in order to cover various aspects of stock/option performance characteristics. The

strategies should also be viewed as part of an overall portfolio in terms of risk and market

strategy.

0.1 TRADING IDEAS

Your objective is to make money. Your final P&L will not impact on your grade but it should

provide you with an indication of your performance. Here are some tips and ideas to get you

started but theses are just some of the possible avenues that you can explore. The Lec-ture

notes and the recommended readings will provide you with all of the relevant literature.

Remember, your grade will be awarded on strategy rationale, the implementation of that

rationale and on your subsequent examination of your experience.

 

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